EP#11-Reverse(non-)WeeklyWizardwithBoxer,DanningandHildobby

How Prediction Markets and Perps Handled the Iran War Oil Shock

Using Dune data, we compared Polymarket and Ostium during the oil spike from $66 to $115. Both captured the same macro trade, but served different needs: prediction markets for precise, smaller bets; perps for deep liquidity, continuous exposure, and scale. The takeaway is not one replacing the other, but each fitting a different type of trader.

Transform onchain data with dbt. Deliver it to your warehouse. No pipelines to build.

Every blockchain data provider can get data into your warehouse. What none of them could do — until now — is let you transform it first.

Tempo Is Now Live on Dune

Tempo, a payments-first blockchain with instant settlement and stablecoin-native fees, is now available on Dune.