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The midterms effect on stocks, read through onchain positioning

Prediction markets priced a Democratic sweep by 8 PM ET. Hyperliquid data show how traders positioned as AI stocks sold off: they bought the falling chip stocks and sold the winners.

Eight years in, Dune is SOC 2 Type II attested

More than 1,000 customers, from crypto-native teams to global financial institutions, rely on Dune data. We have now obtained SOC 2 Type II attestation with no remarks, and the report is available on request in the Dune Trust Center.

Megacap earnings on Hyperliquid and Polymarket

Across 26 megacap earnings reports in 2026, Hyperliquid perps priced about 70% of the next opening gap by the end of US after-hours trading, while Polymarket's far smaller earnings contracts were more accurate a day ahead than at the release.

Trading the midterms on prediction markets

Elections reprice assets within hours. Prediction markets, where $513M of notional has traded on the outcome, price a Democratic sweep at 61-63% and a split Congress at 28-29%, and this time equity perpetuals will trade through election night alongside them.

Can you get GPU exposure onchain?

CME's GPU rental futures, planned for 5 October, are delayed to November at the earliest. Onchain, investors can already get exposure to compute through prediction markets, GPU-backed yield-bearing tokens and perpetual contracts.

Who Actually Trades Polymarket?

A wallet-level cohort analysis of Polymarket from March to August 2026: liquidity comes from a few dozen addresses, retail loses 14.5% on positions held to resolution, and only 271 professional directional wallets finish positive.

Arc is now live on Dune

Arc network, the Layer-1 blockchain purpose-built to support the world's financial markets, real-time settlement, and agentic economic activity, launches mainnet today. Arc data is on Dune from the first block.

Digital Asset Brief: What Onchain Payments Add

Instant payment schemes now match onchain payments on speed and cost, so this issue asks what onchain actually adds. The answer is access: crypto card spend nearly quadrupled to $492m a month and agent payments reached 15.3 million, both funded without a bank account.

Hyperliquid priced WTI while futures were shut

Oil futures close for 49 hours every weekend. Perpetual contracts on Hyperliquid do not. Across 30 weekend closures this year, the WTI perpetual called the direction of the Monday reopen every time oil moved more than a percentage point.